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Red40
155123.8
166521.9
362422.1
Blue82
2030.6
304431.8
409321.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547202040801001201404082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1551
#17
23.82.2
19.917.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End5.9
blue by 8.0
3044
#13
31.81.7
23.124.8
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End4.1
Second
3624
#27DQ
22.12.2
16.214.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 8.5
20
#7
30.61.7
27.028.7
Auto9.1
Teleop17.7
End3.7
Third
1665
#18
21.92.2
18.816.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.6
red by 0.5
4093
#21
21.51.7
16.818.5
Auto11.6
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed