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Red61
588122.7
420311.6
14525.6
Blue64
304431.8
493024.8
52726.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618620401001201406164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145
#24
25.60.2
23.222.9
Auto6.4
Teleop15.1
End4.1
blue by 6.2
3044
#13
31.81.6
30.629.0
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End4.1
Second
5881
#26
22.70.2
26.626.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End4.9
blue by 3.4
527
#14
26.11.6
19.517.9
Auto9.1
Teleop13.3
End3.7
Third
4203
#35
11.60.2
13.513.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.3
End-0.3
blue by 13.2
4930
#12
24.81.6
29.527.9
Auto10.0
Teleop12.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed76%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed