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Red101
525443.1
33331.3
448124.7
Blue77
51499.4
524028.7
279131.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916220408010012014010177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.8
36.838.6
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End5.6
red by 11.2
2791
#10
31.91.3
33.034.3
Auto7.5
Teleop19.6
End4.8
Second
333
#16
31.31.1
27.929.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End3.8
red by 2.6
28.71.3
22.724.0
Auto9.0
Teleop14.3
End5.3
Third
4481
#30
24.71.1
19.320.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.4
End3.9
red by 15.3
5149
#36
9.41.3
8.910.2
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed