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Red50
587913.5
166521.9
52726.1
Blue86
22921.7
2030.6
155123.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547102040801001201401605086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#14
26.10.5
19.919.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.3
End3.7
blue by 4.5
20
#7
30.60.5
26.527.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.7
End3.7
Second
1665
#18
21.90.5
19.418.8
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.6
blue by 1.9
1551
#17
23.80.5
19.419.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Third
5879
#32
13.53.9
19.015.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End2.7
blue by 8.3
229
#20
21.70.5
20.721.2
Auto2.2
Teleop15.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed