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Red64
450821.9
594313.7
145018.0
Blue103
524028.7
4836.8
14525.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5175020406010012014064103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4508
#28
21.91.2
18.519.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End2.9
blue by 14.9
48
#8
36.81.9
35.337.3
Auto11.4
Teleop21.5
End4.0
Second
1450
#33
18.01.2
18.419.6
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End2.4
blue by 10.7
28.72.6
14.417.1
Auto9.0
Teleop14.3
End5.3
Third
5943
#34
13.71.2
16.517.7
Auto2.0
Teleop10.6
End1.1
blue by 11.9
145
#24
25.62.6
19.522.2
Auto6.4
Teleop15.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed