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Red90
525443.1
523631.5
493024.8
Blue74
149326.3
558516.7
341939.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7877506070901001109074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.8
29.130.9
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End5.6
red by 3.3
39.80.2
35.835.6
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
Second
31.51.8
20.222.0
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End4.3
red by 5.2
1493
#22
26.30.3
22.121.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End5.4
Third
4930
#12
24.81.8
24.526.3
Auto10.0
Teleop12.2
End2.7
red by 8.1
5585
#29
16.70.3
18.618.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed