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Red25
646315.6
450825.7
25028.8
Blue125
19573.4
149326.3
648415.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62128010020030040050025125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#20
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End6.0
blue by 44.6
195
#7
73.40.0
73.473.4
Auto21.0
Teleop42.4
End10.0
Second
4508
#23
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End4.0
blue by 0.6
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End5.4
Third
6463
#16
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Level
6484
#22
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach odds88%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds11%Capture odds