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Red91
112446.9
588122.7
279137.6
Blue78
1493B13.1
346134.1
2036.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115820501502002503003504009178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.90.0
46.946.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
red by 9.9
20
#18
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End4.6
Second
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
red by 3.5
3461
#21
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
Third
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End4.9
red by 9.5
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds13%Capture odds