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Red107
5254B25.1
279137.6
25028.8
Blue100
112446.9
509929.7
648415.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959460708090100110120130107100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
blue by 9.2
46.90.0
46.946.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Second
250
#20
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End6.0
blue by 0.9
5099
#10
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End8.4
Third
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End3.9
red by 9.4
6484
#22
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds66%Breach odds
Capture
14%Capture odds2%Capture odds