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Red52
71625.1
2036.9
646315.6
Blue57
450825.7
188023.4
525450.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751070501502002503003504005257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#18
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End4.6
blue by 13.2
50.10.0
50.150.1
Auto10.3
Teleop32.0
End7.9
Second
716
#15
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.6
blue by 0.6
4508
#23
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End4.0
Third
6463
#16
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 7.8
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds3%Capture odds