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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Queen City Regional
Red154
414533.1
402844.6
332428.2
Blue107
12039.2
326039.0
408533.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12714080100120160180200154107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#5
44.60.1
44.4→44.5
Auto9.4
Teleop28.7
End6.5
red by 5.4
120
#13
39.20.6
39.9→39.3
Auto9.9
Teleop24.7
End4.6
Second
4145
#11
33.10.1
33.0→33.0
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
blue by 5.9
3260
#6
39.00.6
39.7→39.1
Auto8.8
Teleop24.2
End6.0
Third
3324
#33
28.20.1
28.0→28.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End3.1
blue by 5.6
4085
#14
33.80.6
34.5→33.9
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End8.4