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Semifinal 1-32016 Queen City Regional
Red132
541342.5
4840.6
260322.5
Blue156
414533.1
402844.6
332428.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128130110120140150132156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#4
42.50.0
42.5→42.5
Auto9.8
Teleop22.5
End10.2
blue by 2.1
4028
#5
44.60.1
44.6→44.8
Auto9.4
Teleop28.7
End6.5
Second
48
#1
40.60.0
40.5→40.6
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End3.8
red by 7.4
4145
#11
33.10.1
33.2→33.3
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
Third
2603
#15
22.50.0
22.5→22.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.1
blue by 5.6
3324
#33
28.20.1
28.2→28.3
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End3.1