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Red99
301033.6
580917.9
86847.0
Blue102
12039.2
193932.3
349223.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719605015020099102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#16
47.01.7
42.744.4
Auto12.7
Teleop28.7
End5.7
red by 7.8
120
#13
39.20.8
36.937.8
Auto9.9
Teleop24.7
End4.6
Second
3010
#37
33.62.9
20.423.3
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End7.8
red by 1.3
1939
#27
32.30.9
27.928.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.1
End3.9
Third
5809
#52
17.91.9
9.811.7
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End1.4
blue by 5.4
3492
#34
23.31.4
24.826.2
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed