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Red118
402844.6
381424.0
348432.2
Blue82
574924.5
170825.7
332428.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79590204010012014016011882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.63.5
36.540.0
Auto9.4
Teleop28.7
End6.5
red by 16.4
3324
#33
28.21.4
22.423.8
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Second
3484
#22
32.24.4
15.620.0
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End7.7
red by 6.5
1708
#44
25.71.4
19.220.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Third
3814
#43
24.02.9
21.424.3
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End6.1
blue by 0.5
5749
#29
24.51.9
18.720.5
Auto9.3
Teleop12.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed