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Red66
45129.6
201632.7
411524.4
Blue81
581135.0
377721.4
260322.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7461020401001201406681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#23
32.70.2
26.125.8
Auto9.5
Teleop17.8
End5.4
blue by 2.3
5811
#17
35.01.6
28.530.1
Auto11.2
Teleop19.2
End4.6
Second
451
#41
29.60.3
25.725.4
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End6.1
red by 7.0
2603
#15
22.51.6
18.219.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.1
Third
4115
#40
24.40.4
17.817.4
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End5.1
red by 3.0
3777
#31
21.42.2
14.116.4
Auto2.5
Teleop13.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed