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Red76
581135.0
608418.5
332428.2
Blue117
205125.4
377721.4
326039.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647105010015020076117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5811
#17Sur
35.00.9
30.131.1
Auto11.2
Teleop19.2
End4.6
blue by 4.0
39.02.3
32.634.9
Auto8.8
Teleop24.2
End6.0
Second
3324
#33
28.20.9
23.824.7
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End3.1
red by 2.8
2051
#30Sur
25.42.3
19.021.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End4.7
Third
6084
#45
18.51.4
9.611.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End1.0
blue by 2.9
3777
#31
21.43.8
16.420.1
Auto2.5
Teleop13.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed