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Red75
4840.6
326617.7
320123.6
Blue88
193932.3
580917.9
402844.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728502040601001201401607588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#1Sur
40.60.2
37.337.5
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End3.8
blue by 4.0
44.60.2
40.040.2
Auto9.4
Teleop28.7
End6.5
Second
3201
#42
23.60.2
17.217.4
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End5.1
blue by 8.8
1939
#27Sur
32.30.2
28.829.0
Auto9.3
Teleop19.1
End3.9
Third
3266
#48
17.70.4
17.317.7
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End2.0
blue by 0.1
5809
#52
17.90.2
11.711.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed