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Red79
240816.2
421332.6
30009.5
Blue64
580917.9
608418.5
541342.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687040506080901007964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.5
32.533.0
Auto9.7
Teleop18.0
End4.9
blue by 9.9
42.50.2
43.242.9
Auto9.8
Teleop22.5
End10.2
Second
2408
#55
16.20.5
15.215.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End3.0
blue by 2.3
6084
#45
18.50.4
12.412.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End1.0
Third
3000
#50
9.50.8
19.019.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End-0.1
blue by 8.3
5809
#52
17.90.2
11.911.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed