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Red100
618122.0
6334.4
198532.4
Blue119
332428.2
414533.1
101432.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728620406080100120140100119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63
#8
34.41.9
25.927.8
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End9.6
red by 1.3
4145
#11
33.10.9
27.228.1
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
Second
1985
#26
32.41.9
29.531.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End6.7
Level
32.40.9
29.930.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.9
End3.8
Third
6181
#47
22.03.1
16.419.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.5
End5.6
blue by 6.2
3324
#33
28.20.9
24.024.9
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned