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Red90
201632.7
408533.8
239932.4
Blue124
425629.0
86847.0
350432.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95105608012014016090124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#14
33.80.3
33.633.4
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End8.4
blue by 13.2
868
#16
47.01.6
46.347.9
Auto12.7
Teleop28.7
End5.7
Second
2016
#23
32.70.3
29.929.6
Auto9.5
Teleop17.8
End5.4
red by 0.5
3504
#12
32.21.6
29.931.5
Auto8.9
Teleop17.1
End6.2
Third
32.40.3
30.630.3
Auto7.1
Teleop19.6
End5.7
red by 3.3
4256
#21
29.01.6
24.125.7
Auto8.0
Teleop16.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned