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Red64
428418.8
193932.3
608418.5
Blue124
27926.2
492014.6
402844.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5986204010012014064124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#27
32.30.2
28.829.0
Auto9.3
Teleop19.1
End3.9
blue by 12.3
44.60.6
44.144.7
Auto9.4
Teleop28.7
End6.5
Second
4284
#49
18.80.2
17.617.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.5
blue by 7.5
279
#39
26.21.0
20.921.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.8
End7.5
Third
6084
#45
18.50.3
15.215.4
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End1.0
red by 3.9
4920
#46
14.60.6
14.815.4
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsMissed64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed