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Red111
402844.6
239932.4
566721.1
Blue84
580917.9
548431.2
618521.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10853020408010012014016011184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.0
44.744.7
Auto9.4
Teleop28.7
End6.5
red by 13.4
5484
#20
31.21.6
26.428.1
Auto7.8
Teleop17.9
End5.5
Second
32.40.0
30.930.9
Auto7.1
Teleop19.6
End5.7
red by 10.5
6185
#51
21.92.5
18.921.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End4.2
Third
5667
#19
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.8
End3.1
red by 3.3
5809
#52
17.91.6
14.115.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned16%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed