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Red110
201632.7
6334.4
382117.5
Blue113
103831.3
193932.3
549229.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7684204060100120140160110113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63
#8
34.42.3
29.932.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End9.6
red by 2.1
1939
#27
32.31.8
29.030.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.1
End3.9
Second
2016
#23
32.72.3
31.233.5
Auto9.5
Teleop17.8
End5.4
red by 1.4
1038
#10
31.31.8
25.827.6
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.8
Third
3821
#53
17.53.6
14.317.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.3
End2.1
blue by 11.5
5492
#18
29.01.8
25.827.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned