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Red106
260322.5
24536.3
86847.0
Blue85
198532.4
124910.8
541342.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1168505010015010685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#16
47.00.1
49.048.8
Auto12.7
Teleop28.7
End5.7
red by 4.5
42.50.5
44.243.8
Auto9.8
Teleop22.5
End10.2
Second
245
#2
36.30.1
35.935.7
Auto9.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
red by 3.9
1985
#26
32.40.5
32.632.2
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End6.7
Third
2603
#15
22.50.1
23.223.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.1
red by 11.7
1249
#56
10.80.7
10.19.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsMissed80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed