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Red100
348432.2
4840.6
608418.5
Blue96
381424.0
408533.8
45129.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939140608010012014016010096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#1
40.60.7
41.342.0
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End3.8
red by 6.8
4085
#14
33.80.2
34.734.5
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End8.4
Second
3484
#22
32.20.9
31.332.2
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End7.7
red by 2.6
451
#41
29.60.2
29.729.6
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End6.1
Third
6084
#45
18.50.9
17.618.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End1.0
blue by 5.5
3814
#43
24.00.2
24.224.0
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed