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Red70
377721.4
320123.6
580917.9
Blue123
541342.5
350432.2
33730.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5211902040608010014016070123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#42
23.60.6
22.923.6
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End5.1
blue by 18.9
42.51.1
43.844.9
Auto9.8
Teleop22.5
End10.2
Second
3777
#31
21.40.8
20.621.4
Auto2.5
Teleop13.0
End5.8
blue by 10.8
3504
#12
32.21.1
32.533.6
Auto8.9
Teleop17.1
End6.2
Third
5809
#52
17.90.6
17.217.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End1.4
blue by 12.3
337
#25
30.11.1
29.530.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.5
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned