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Red104
492014.6
198532.4
326039.0
Blue107
27926.2
6334.4
130825.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90834060100120140104107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.2
39.539.7
Auto8.8
Teleop24.2
End6.0
red by 4.6
63
#8
34.41.7
32.534.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End9.6
Second
1985
#26
32.40.2
32.232.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End6.7
red by 6.2
279
#39
26.22.4
23.826.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.8
End7.5
Third
4920
#46
14.60.2
14.414.6
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End3.1
blue by 10.4
1308
#24
25.01.7
25.427.0
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed