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Red74
382117.5
574924.5
204026.8
Blue102
411524.4
24536.3
301033.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6310020408012014016074102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#35
26.80.5
26.426.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End4.0
blue by 9.5
245
#2
36.30.7
35.736.4
Auto9.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
Second
5749
#29
24.50.6
23.824.5
Auto9.3
Teleop12.1
End3.1
blue by 9.2
3010
#37
33.60.9
32.733.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End7.8
Third
3821
#53
17.50.6
16.917.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.3
End2.1
blue by 6.9
4115
#40
24.40.9
23.524.4
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed73%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed