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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Buckeye Regional
Red116
21736.2
30334.1
178728.1
Blue105
37940.1
2728.6
70630.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12811780100140160180116105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#6
36.20.7
38.2→37.5
Auto6.7
Teleop21.3
End8.2
blue by 3.9
379
#17
40.10.2
39.5→39.7
Auto6.4
Teleop24.0
End9.6
Second
303
#2
34.10.5
35.5→35.0
Auto8.7
Teleop19.3
End6.0
red by 4.0
706
#19
30.10.2
29.8→30.1
Auto8.6
Teleop15.6
End5.9
Third
1787
#11
28.10.5
29.5→29.0
Auto6.9
Teleop17.3
End3.8
blue by 0.5
27
#8
28.60.2
28.1→28.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.0
End5.8