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Quarterfinal 3-32016 Buckeye Regional
Red79
21736.2
30334.1
178728.1
Blue154
37940.1
2728.6
101427.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271158010014016018020079154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#6
36.21.4
37.5→36.2
Auto6.7
Teleop21.3
End8.2
blue by 3.9
379
#17
40.10.4
39.7→40.1
Auto6.4
Teleop24.0
End9.6
Second
303
#2
34.10.9
35.0→34.1
Auto8.7
Teleop19.3
End6.0
red by 5.5
27
#8
28.60.4
28.3→28.7
Auto8.8
Teleop14.0
End5.8
Third
1787
#11
28.10.9
29.0→28.1
Auto6.9
Teleop17.3
End3.8
red by 0.2
1014
#14
27.90.4
27.6→28.0
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End3.3