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Red71
37940.1
428418.9
332420.8
Blue82
514621.3
426928.3
317127.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8376601001207182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#17
40.11.5
32.531.0
Auto6.4
Teleop24.0
End9.6
red by 11.7
4269
#16
28.30.1
27.527.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.8
Second
3324
#37
20.81.5
25.423.9
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End2.2
blue by 7.0
3171
#40
27.90.2
25.926.1
Auto7.6
Teleop15.9
End4.3
Third
4284
#38
18.91.5
21.620.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End2.7
blue by 2.4
5146
#15
21.30.2
21.721.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed