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Red108
541340.8
594725.2
217228.2
Blue106
21736.2
359127.6
411925.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8872406080100120140108106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.82.2
38.740.9
Auto7.1
Teleop22.7
End10.9
red by 4.6
217
#6
36.23.7
31.134.8
Auto6.7
Teleop21.3
End8.2
Second
2172
#34
28.21.3
25.026.3
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End4.8
red by 0.6
3591
#48
27.63.7
23.126.8
Auto6.2
Teleop17.3
End4.1
Third
5947
#44
25.22.2
19.221.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End5.0
blue by 0.1
4119
#36
25.33.7
18.422.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed