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Qual 872016 Buckeye Regional
Red70
461128.4
15628.1
514621.3
Blue54
6319.3
63925.2
414523.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87772040601001201407054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4611
#33
28.41.7
30.2→28.4
Auto10.3
Teleop13.7
End4.5
red by 3.3
639
#43
25.22.6
27.8→25.2
Auto7.6
Teleop13.0
End4.6
Second
156
#5
28.11.2
29.6→28.4
Auto8.0
Teleop15.5
End4.6
red by 4.5
4145
#45
23.62.6
26.2→23.6
Auto6.4
Teleop13.2
End4.1
Third
5146
#15
21.31.7
23.0→21.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End2.5
red by 2.0
63
#35
19.32.6
21.9→19.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed