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Quarterfinal 1-12016 Buckeye Regional
Red105
78127.7
403939.0
412122.4
Blue74
426928.3
159018.9
87031.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11196608012014016010574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#1
39.00.3
39.0→38.7
Auto13.2
Teleop19.1
End6.7
red by 7.2
870
#24
31.70.2
32.5→32.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End6.1
Second
781
#10
27.70.2
27.7→27.5
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End3.9
blue by 0.7
4269
#16
28.30.2
28.9→28.8
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.8
Third
4121
#28
22.40.3
22.4→22.1
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End4.5
red by 3.5
1590
#9
18.90.2
19.6→19.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End1.2