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Semifinal 1-12016 Buckeye Regional
Red143
78127.7
403939.0
412122.4
Blue119
225238.1
15628.1
331432.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10612580100140160180143119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#1
39.00.0
39.0→38.9
Auto13.2
Teleop19.1
End6.7
red by 0.9
2252
#18
38.10.1
38.5→38.4
Auto9.6
Teleop23.4
End5.1
Second
781
#10
27.70.0
27.6→27.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End3.9
blue by 4.3
3314
#27
32.00.1
32.4→32.3
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Third
4121
#28
22.40.0
22.4→22.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End4.5
blue by 5.7
156
#5
28.10.1
28.5→28.4
Auto8.0
Teleop15.5
End4.6