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Red186
402846.0
37947.5
260322.5
Blue140
541342.5
414533.1
428324.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311950100200250186140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#5
47.50.0
47.547.5
Auto12.5
Teleop26.6
End8.3
red by 5.0
42.50.0
42.542.5
Auto9.8
Teleop22.5
End10.2
Second
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
red by 12.9
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
Third
2603
#16
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.1
blue by 2.4
4283
#14
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End4.2