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Red200
402846.0
37947.5
217228.2
Blue137
541342.5
414533.1
412124.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15211750100200250200137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#5
47.50.0
47.547.5
Auto12.5
Teleop26.6
End8.3
red by 5.0
42.50.0
42.542.5
Auto9.8
Teleop22.5
End10.2
Second
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
red by 12.9
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
Third
2172
#23
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End4.8
red by 4.2
4121
#22
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.1