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Red141
69524.3
4840.6
313832.9
Blue87
581134.1
101432.4
514621.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211095010015020014187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#4
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
red by 6.5
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto11.0
Teleop16.6
End6.5
Second
3138
#10
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto7.7
Teleop20.4
End4.7
red by 0.5
1014
#11
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto8.7
Teleop19.9
End3.8
Third
695
#18
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 3.0
5146
#19
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End2.5