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Red112
426928.3
225238.1
103831.3
Blue121
178728.1
12828.4
14429.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12210450150200112121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto9.6
Teleop23.4
End5.1
red by 8.8
144
#12
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End6.4
Second
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.8
red by 3.0
128
#7
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto5.4
Teleop16.7
End6.2
Third
4269
#24
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.8
red by 0.2
1787
#17
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto6.9
Teleop17.3
End3.8