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Red109
260322.5
37947.5
402846.0
Blue102
178728.1
12828.4
14429.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1469950200250109102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#5
47.50.0
47.547.5
Auto12.5
Teleop26.6
End8.3
red by 18.2
144
#12
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End6.4
Second
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
red by 17.6
128
#7
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto5.4
Teleop16.7
End6.2
Third
2603
#16
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.1
blue by 5.5
1787
#17
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto6.9
Teleop17.3
End3.8