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Red165
4840.6
225238.1
313832.9
Blue109
428324.9
408535.4
14429.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12087050100150200250165109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#4
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
red by 5.2
4085
#13
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto12.0
Teleop14.0
End9.4
Second
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto9.6
Teleop23.4
End5.1
red by 8.8
144
#12
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End6.4
Third
3138
#10
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto7.7
Teleop20.4
End4.7
red by 8.0
4283
#14
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds1%Capture odds