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Red139
402846.0
12828.4
260322.5
Blue67
130825.0
301033.6
414533.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019305015020025013967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
red by 12.4
3010
#15
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End7.8
Second
128
#7
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto5.4
Teleop16.7
End6.2
blue by 4.8
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
Third
2603
#16
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.1
blue by 2.5
1308
#20
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds2%Capture odds