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Red125
101432.4
541342.5
581134.1
Blue81
412124.0
217228.2
103831.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1188005010015020025012581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.0
42.542.5
Auto9.8
Teleop22.5
End10.2
red by 11.2
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.8
Second
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto11.0
Teleop16.6
End6.5
red by 5.9
2172
#23
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End4.8
Third
1014
#11
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto8.7
Teleop19.9
End3.8
red by 8.4
4121
#22
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
10%Capture odds0%Capture odds