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Red106
14429.2
37947.5
426928.3
Blue142
301033.6
4840.6
402846.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105127050150200250300106142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#5
47.50.0
47.547.5
Auto12.5
Teleop26.6
End8.3
red by 1.5
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
Second
144
#12
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End6.4
blue by 11.4
48
#4
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
Third
4269
#24
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.8
blue by 5.3
3010
#15
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds11%Capture odds