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Red162
458734.2
180645.5
509827.6
Blue90
452232.5
350740.9
144824.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311215010015020016290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.2
45.345.5
Auto12.2
Teleop28.2
End5.2
red by 4.7
40.90.7
41.540.9
Auto11.1
Teleop24.3
End5.4
Second
34.20.3
33.934.2
Auto6.9
Teleop23.3
End4.1
red by 1.7
4522
#11
32.50.7
33.232.5
Auto6.9
Teleop21.3
End4.4
Third
5098
#38
27.60.2
27.327.6
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End4.6
red by 3.2
1448
#25
24.40.9
25.324.4
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End3.9