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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Oklahoma Regional
Red118
458734.2
180645.5
509827.6
Blue95
346523.9
554823.2
175027.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139875010015020011895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#1
45.50.4
45.7→45.3
Auto12.2
Teleop28.2
End5.2
red by 17.8
1750
#21
27.70.0
27.7→27.7
Auto8.6
Teleop13.7
End5.3
Second
4587
#4
34.20.6
34.5→33.9
Auto6.9
Teleop23.3
End4.1
red by 10.4
3465
#37
23.90.0
23.9→23.9
Auto9.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7
Third
5098
#38
27.60.4
27.8→27.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End4.6
red by 4.4
5548
#12
23.20.0
23.2→23.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End6.2