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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Oklahoma Regional
Red100
400528.9
361227.3
366027.3
Blue149
393132.9
235232.5
93227.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97120050150200250100149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#27
28.90.1
28.728.6
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End6.4
blue by 4.1
32.90.1
33.333.4
Auto10.1
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Second
3660
#13
27.30.1
27.127.0
Auto8.4
Teleop15.9
End3.0
blue by 5.2
32.50.2
32.933.0
Auto7.7
Teleop20.9
End3.9
Third
27.30.1
27.127.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7
red by 0.3
932
#20
27.00.1
27.327.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.7
End4.6