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Red132
452232.5
350740.9
144824.4
Blue94
237324.7
440331.6
324726.6
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1309805015020013294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.1
42.442.5
Auto11.1
Teleop24.3
End5.4
red by 9.3
31.60.3
31.931.6
Auto9.3
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Second
4522
#11
32.50.1
34.034.1
Auto6.9
Teleop21.3
End4.4
red by 5.9
3247
#14
26.60.4
27.126.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.1
End7.2
Third
1448
#25
24.40.1
26.426.5
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End3.9
blue by 0.3
2373
#30
24.70.4
25.224.7
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9