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Red67
315221.7
588919.6
509827.6
Blue72
393132.9
246118.3
156121.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647102040801001206772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#38
27.60.1
30.830.7
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End4.6
blue by 5.4
32.90.4
31.632.0
Auto10.1
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Second
3152
#18
21.70.1
16.116.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End4.1
blue by 0.1
1561
#29
21.80.5
18.919.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.5
End3.8
Third
5889
#31
19.60.1
16.116.0
Auto7.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 1.3
2461
#39
18.30.4
17.117.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed