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Red46
324726.6
174226.2
316024.0
Blue102
317921.0
298613.9
180645.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6968405060809010046102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3247
#14
26.62.2
19.417.2
Auto5.3
Teleop14.1
End7.2
blue by 18.9
45.51.9
38.240.1
Auto12.2
Teleop28.2
End5.2
Second
1742
#33
26.22.2
21.118.9
Auto6.7
Teleop17.2
End2.3
red by 5.2
3179
#28
21.03.2
15.018.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Third
3160
#45
24.01.6
25.223.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End9.2
red by 10.1
2986
#41
13.93.2
14.717.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed